Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.110143 0.136638 0.165649 0.199476 0.237545 0.278789 0.326577
2025-03-23 0.076691 0.111381 0.153011 0.205398 0.268354 0.340461 0.428182
2025-03-30 0.050500 0.087393 0.136147 0.202174 0.286331 0.387358 0.515173
2025-04-06 0.033504 0.070184 0.123684 0.201310 0.305507 0.435598 0.605439
2025-04-13 0.023191 0.059185 0.116948 0.206073 0.331020 0.492025 0.707436
2025-04-20 0.016364 0.051304 0.112842 0.213193 0.359217 0.552354 0.815895
2025-04-27 0.011293 0.044451 0.108699 0.219151 0.385414 0.610443 0.922769
2025-05-04 0.006887 0.036468 0.100697 0.217731 0.400302 0.653285 1.010436
2025-05-11 0.004391 0.031511 0.096922 0.222180 0.423360 0.707392 1.113734
2025-05-18 0.002331 0.025683 0.089863 0.219965 0.435731 0.746520 1.197402
2025-05-25 0.000799 0.018716 0.078087 0.207653 0.431174 0.760937 1.247261
2025-06-01 0.000317 0.015721 0.074551 0.209646 0.448841 0.807193 1.341171
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.011782 0.067195 0.203595 0.453433 0.835128 1.411326
2025-06-15 0.000008 0.010944 0.068460 0.214814 0.487101 0.906784 1.544008
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008726 0.064455 0.214577 0.501226 0.949484 1.636515
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007009 0.061245 0.215506 0.517168 0.995085 1.733721
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006055 0.060443 0.221584 0.542214 1.054941 1.852091
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005402 0.060575 0.229714 0.571054 1.121017 1.980125
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004706 0.060127 0.236368 0.597365 1.183556 2.103750
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003570 0.056594 0.235110 0.609066 1.223401 2.194779
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002983 0.055591 0.239928 0.632015 1.281175 2.312568
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002145 0.052026 0.237681 0.641507 1.317679 2.399433
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001132 0.044923 0.224767 0.629837 1.319857 2.435325